E, Geethika and Gudasalamani, Ravikanth and R, Siva (2024) Impacts of climate change on the distribution of Phyllanthus emblica Linn across Southeast Asia: identifying critical variables that determine the distribution of a medicinally important tree. Tropical Ecology. ISSN 0564-3295

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Abstract

The demand for the fruits of Phyllanthus emblica, an important tree species with a long history of medicinal use, has risen
tremendously in recent years. The rapid decline in the distribution of the species can be attributed to habitat loss, climate change, invasive species, extensive harvesting, and various other anthropogenic disturbances. In the present study, we modelled the potential habitat distribution of Phyllanthus emblica (Indian gooseberry) across Asia. The current and future
climatic scenarios are predicted using Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) and the latest climate model Shared Socio-economic Pathway (SSP). The model constructed using Representative Concentration Pathway had the mean value
of Area Under Curve (AUC) 0.970 and 0.975 for the Shared Socio-economic Pathway. The study indicated that some of
the highly suitable habitats in Asia could become unsuitable and climatic variables combined with human activities could
significantly impact species distribution in near future.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: Copyright of this article belongs to the Springer
Uncontrolled Keywords: Climate change · Ecological niche model · Habitat suitability · Phyllanthus emblica · Representative Concentration Pathway · Shared Socio-economic Pathway
Subjects: A ATREE Publications > G Journal Papers
Divisions: SM Sehgal Foundation Centre for Biodiversity and Conservation > Biodiversity Monitoring and Conservation Planning
Depositing User: ATREE Bangalore
Date Deposited: 16 Jul 2025 06:22
Last Modified: 16 Jul 2025 06:22
URI: http://archives.atree.org/id/eprint/607

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